Issue 28

What are the chances of Germany becoming nuclear?

None. That issue was resolved after World War II for both Japan and Germany.

44%

Slight—as long as it remains a member of a powerful NATO.

22%

50/50. It depends on American leadership and whether Germany remains under the U.S. nuclear umbrella.

22%

Good. The nuclear club is expanding and deterrence is Germany’s only method to prevent blackmail.

11%

Inevitable. Germany will eventually become nuclear, given its historic dominance of European politics.

0%