Issue 59

What are the likely results of current U.S.–China trade tensions?

Both sides will meekly and reciprocally back off.

12%

The trade war will shortly end with mild Chinese concessions.

43%

Trump will radically redefine trade in America’s favor.

23%

Tensions will escalate into a destructive, full-bore trade war.

15%

Commercial tensions will lead to military incidents and possible war.

7%